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Goldman Sachs lowered on Tuesday its global growth forecasts for this year and next, predicting a mild recession in euro zone and increased risk of double dip in the United States.
According to Goldman Sachs, the world economy will expand at a rate of 3.8 percent this year and 3.5 percent in 2012, compared with earlier predictions of 3.9 percent and 4.2 percent respectively.
"The further deterioration in the economic and financial situation in the Euro area has led us to downgrade our global GDP forecast significantly," Goldman Sachs said in its report. "Over the next few quarters, we now expect a mild recession in Germany and France, and a deeper downturn in the Euro periphery."
Goldman Sachs predicted that the economy in euro zone countries will expand 1.6 percent this year and 0.1 percent in 2012, down sharply from its previous forecast of 1.3 percent.
For the United States, economists of Goldman Sachs predicted that the GDP will grow 1.7 percent this year and 1.4 percent in 2012. In its previous report, however, a 2-percent growth was projected for the year of 2012 in the world's biggest economy.
"The increase in spillovers from the Euro area, primarily via tighter financial conditions, is the primary reason why we have also downgraded our forecasts for the U.S. further," the economists said. "We now see the risk of a renewed U.S. recession at around 40 percent."