Many are how many ?
general is how much? Many are how many? OF: Xie Wen
Reprinted from:
http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_513a2b800100gry6.html
years during the Cultural Revolution that, whenever a movement, the newspaper's most popular television sentence is 。。。Now in the 21st century, but still a lot of sports enthusiasts,
air max 2011, in order to express the times, usually with the appearance of truth, face a serious talk about science. However, if a little careful that held about data sources and data acquisition methods, you will find many cases, no relationship between the points and arguments, or arguments greatly exaggerated or distorted the data representation of the intention. There are two readily find examples of a deeper impression on the reader appreciate.
I subscribe to the Global Times
10 years, can be regarded as one of loyal readers. The newspaper has the advantage of clearing pass readable, all original, sensitive to world events reflect the wide field of vision, in many cases be able to report the specific facts and different points of view. The disadvantage is lack of objectivity, can not tell the difference between promotion and coverage of current affairs topics other than professional enough, and sometimes shows historical heritage from the narrow-minded nationalism and voice of color. To the Google case, for example, can also be the beginning of the first editorial the next day, the Fang has published articles, but other reports and statements to Taishishuizhun. And over time, more and more outrageous, regardless of reports or reviews are basically reduced to the Cultural Revolution posters, large critical level, then drew much Liang Xiao, Luo Siding of charm, being unreasonable by. For example, the Global Times on its Web site to hang out a public opinion survey, asking the Chinese to accept Google's requirements should not get more than 30,000 clicks to vote, of which more than 80% said no. As a result, the Global Times began to infer that most Chinese people, Google's unreasonable refusal to blackmail. Actually, 1.3 billion Chinese people is only 400 million Internet access, 400 million, only about 400 million Internet users visited the same day World Wide Web (ranked by ALEXA optimistic estimate), 400 million people in only 4 million people voted,
cheap air max shoes, 80% serious that the so-called World Wide Web users is only a small number (less than 1%) the most active stance on this issue who are willing. General public opinion survey by the basic rules, the core is that you investigate whether the random sample, if it is, that such a simple question to ask about 1,000 people in the country will know the attitude of the whole people, plus or minus no more than 3%. If not, even if you surveyed 100 people, the results can not be inferred from outside. Crucial is that you can not prove it more than thirty thousand of the population characteristics and demographic characteristics of people across the country in line, so, 80% of people say both can not represent all Chinese people, but also can not represent all the world Times readers, and even can not represent the same day Internet users access the World Wide Web, more than thirty thousand votes can only represent themselves. This can explain the problem? School of Journalism, or related curriculum of textbooks in public opinion surveys must have talked about a classic example of the 1948 U.S. presidential election. The Democratic Party of Truman and Dewey, the Republican competition, all the polls have shown a significant advantage of Dewey will win, many newspapers have voted in the election results were announced before I make the headlines of Dewey the winner. Truman won the election results, these newspapers had to re-revision. Hindsight, that the problem lies in survey sampling methods. In order to save costs and shorten the time, opinion polls are all installed by the phone in the United States tens of millions of families in the sample asked the question. However, the United States in 1948, telephone penetration rate of less than 50%,
air max shoes, poor general safety in the home also can not afford to call, but most of them support the Democratic Party. Therefore, the sample out of sampling bias, bias of the middle class and the rich, the results are wrong. Since then, the U.S. press and public opinion survey sampling methods agencies attached great importance to the research, even today, a newspaper published the findings of public opinion, must indicate the sampling method, the representative of the general description of what, how much margin of error, or is not valid investigation. 60 years later, my mind a more serious, more professional on the basic knowledge of the newspaper is still making mistakes, what is the problem? Arrogance and ignorance that some people, want to call themselves the people's representatives, representatives of public opinion. Experienced the suffering of the Cultural Revolution 10 years and 30 years of experience in reform and opening up the 1.3 billion Chinese people to be so easy to be represented? If the Global Times, Google really want to know public opinion on the event, it is recommended to find such as Horizon professional bodies, to 400 million Internet users as a whole, according to a scientific sampling method and conduct a questionnaire survey. The survey I have done many times, often results beyond my surprise, but in addition to how to do anything but accept the fact it? So, I have been opposed to hanging a questionnaire on the site, let users take the bait in position, have never come to the results of this investigation seriously. However, if the Global Times, occupy the position to guide public opinion and responsibility, and do not care about how the real public opinion, that there is no way, but be prepared to pay a loss of respect for the cost of many readers.
event, after all, if Google is a local thing, there will soon end, then the consequences of this example is more serious,
cheap Nike air max shoes, direct impact on people's livelihood. Early April 2009, National Bureau of Statistics figures the authority, said the 2008 National Urban Units average wage was 29,229 yuan. This theory came out, the national public outcry, because this and most people feel far away from the daily. To early August, Bureau of Statistics in 2009 when the average wage during the first half, also released statistics on the sources and methods: Co., Ltd., Hong Kong, Macao and foreign investment units. does not include private flats, individual businesses and flexible employment. That does not include that part of the ratio of total number of employees who have be? 50%! Increasing pressure of public opinion is probably, by the end of October has finally come up with a statistical non-public enterprises average wage of workers to a sample survey: in 2008 the national urban average wage of employees in the private unit of 17,071 yuan, only equivalent to the current labor wage statistics system figured out 58.4% of the average wage. Even if not included in statistics and the statistics of the workers were equally divided, and that in 2008 the national average wage of urban workers was 23,150 yuan should be,
air max sale, less than the Bureau of Statistics figures released by the 6079 yuan. Faced with this serious mistakes, Bureau of Statistics statistical method does not actually claim that changing the timetable. This at least three important issues:
1. Three years of reform and opening up, China's social infrastructure, economic base has undergone a fundamental change, and the superstructure, the management system is basically intact. I had the opportunity to early cooperation with the Bureau of Statistics, worked together for three months, so the Statistical Yearbook and the like have a special hobby, read with great interest. According to my observation, until today, our statistical system, the caliber, the basic approach adopted is copied to the former Soviet Union 50 years that set, and a serious departure from the real world. This has been more than half of urban workers are not included in called
2. contemporary Chinese social structure, problems and conflicts and the extent of which is seriously distorted, and according to the number of serious distortions and made the phenomenon of Analysis and further away from reality. For example, according to Bureau of explanation, the reason it is not so obvious how much effort to change things that have yet to reform timetable, one of the reasons is that the welfare of Chinese workers, social welfare standards and wealth distribution policies are outrageous that the above figures linked to the serious, such as employees of the four risk a gold standard is built on a false charge of 20,009 rather than the real number of 20,003 based on. If you want to change, then the part is bound to damage the interests of workers, if not change, that the Treasury was going to fill a huge hole. As another example, if all the average annual salary of urban workers was 20,009, while the average income of farmers is far below this, and that the focus of the reform of income distribution to narrow the gap between urban and rural areas; but now we know the state-owned enterprises and state institutions as the main The average wage of workers was 20,009, while only 20,003 employees of private enterprises, and that income distribution is the focus of reform should be to break the monopoly, institutions, both enterprise and reduce the urban-rural divide, and promote equality of opportunity and competition average.
3. Bureau of Statistics today can begin to address the problem should be commended, but if the history of reform and opening up has been 30 years, not a bit too much behind it? Reform of the superstructure behind the changes in the economic base, which is the basic principle of our ancestors who described one, but 30 years behind a little too slow, right? Even under the Bureau of Statistics data, employment in private enterprises is the fastest growing, value of the fastest growing. However, since the income situation of workers of private enterprises can not be called difficult for their children to equal educational opportunities, etc., Bureau of the problem is no longer an isolated issue, but the entire social management system needs major reform of the problem. Complete rigorous statistical data is a mirror of the national development situation, but if it is side of the magic mirror, the problem is big.
my hands in favor of the anti-########ography, it is the daily management of the network industry, the proper meaning. However, as it is now engaged in the renovation campaign law is puzzling me. The rule of law was gone, the program disappeared, the cooperation of administrators and managers to discuss and participate gone to see is similar to the level of illegal demolition and brutal urban management of speech and action. Feel insecure network industry, telecommunications industry, the days are not much better. Nobody knows when, because of what reasons, what people are based on the laws, their own websites, servers or room was dark out, is this normal? I really want to know the reasons behind all of this, where, according to what it is. National Bureau of Statistics networking industry will certainly not this trivial little things, but the total of the unit in charge of persuading people out of the data point out to you? Sealing of thousands of websites,
air max 90 sale, accounting for 3.2 million Chinese site by how much? Received reports of several hundred thousand, it accounted for 33.6 billion web pages by how much? As an excuse to ban all the WAP services, to cancel the entire Chinese people, the right of individuals to the network domain, who is yellow on the threat message (God knows what counted yellow) whoever lost the use of the civil rights of mobile communication tools to eavesdrop peek Internet users and mobile phone users (do not know the wired telephone is not in the list of remediation) issued by the constitutionally protected private information. . . Reason to be too far-fetched, right? Behavior too much, right? Of attack is too wide, right? According to the Southern Weekend report on January 21, move all WAP sites in the total flow in Jurisprudence business accounted for only 0.2%. Because this 0.2%, 99.8% of the normal services also to shut, is this the legendary
Therefore, If the common people like me, confused, or like the exaggerated figures it when, a few people can not harm. However, if certain management responsibility or assume responsibility to guide, but should find out the facts, understand the origin and meaning of data. Otherwise, not only bad people, and perhaps their own managers and advocates.
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