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67888 2009 年 01 月 12 日 09:26 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (0) Category: Personal Diary
Diaoyu enough to attract so much attention. World is not the lack of territorial disputes. Including the Chinese people, concerned about the Diaoyu Islands, the Diaoyu Islands by simply hidden a large amount of oil resources?
Chairman Mao Zedong in Tiananmen Square self-declared However, after half a century, the Chinese discovered that they have not fully stand up.
Taiwan and Taiwan as the intervention of outside forces has not yet been unified, the South China Sea disputes continue. Chinese people the most memorable one, perhaps the greatest harm to China's modern history, Japan is still trying to seize the Diaoyu Islands.
the Diaoyu Islands is not alone an island, but a total area of about 7 square kilometers of islands. Diaoyu Islands as our Japanese Diaoyu Islands in the east direction of Fujian, northeast of the island. It is estimated that the Diaoyu Islands waters of a large number of oil resources, the outside world has been that this is the intensification of the Sino-Japanese dispute over the Diaoyu Islands is an important factor.
see from the above conditions, the Diaoyu Islands enough to attract so much attention. World is not the lack of territorial disputes. Including the Chinese people, concerned about the Diaoyu Islands, the Diaoyu Islands by simply hidden a large amount of oil resources?
answer is no. Diaoyu Islands to the world's attention not because they were more attracted to oil resources. Diaoyu Islands to attract people's attention, no doubt because of their East Asian geopolitical barometer effect. Sino-Japanese dispute over the Diaoyu Islands
dispute. China and Japan are two major powers in East Asia is also an important influence on the world's countries. Disputes between them will inevitably affect the situation in East Asia and then act on the entire world.
Diaoyu Islands dispute also involves the United States. In fact, it is the Americans for the manufacture of the Diaoyu Islands dispute. Diaoyu Islands issue to such a situation, then the United States to play tricks with a direct link. Diaoyu Islands after the first Sino under the Subsequent changes in the situation in China as the Diaoyu Islands to return the question arises variables.
1971, the United States and Japan signed the Subsequently, the United States has said that the agreement does not affect the sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands issue. In other words, the problem is actually a former KMT regime in Taiwan and the United States and, later,
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when Beijing began to have the ability to take over this issue, the situation is quite unsatisfactory. Therefore, we stand far enough and need to look at macro-historical perspective, but can not be separated the History of the guilt of all the blame today.
planning in the United States,
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historical conflict between China and Japan is already very serious. Modern history, Japan has been strong in Asia alone. Therefore, the Japanese essence, there is a sense of superiority for the Asians. Japanese, the Chinese people called After the Meiji Restoration and Japan through a series of expansion of the war survived by colonization. Japan is under pressure in the West survive.
long withstand the pressure of a person, once Huanguo Lai is very likely to be some physical or psychological problems. Japan has not escaped the fate of the other. Japanese people as reflected in the abnormal psychology of worship and the United States and Europe for Asia contempt. When China firmly on its own and the Renaissance, when Japan's self-esteem feel is abnormal psychology is about to be broken.
Chinese people, the feeling is not the end of World War II, Japan has also reached even wish to bring the fruits of aggression. Therefore, the Chinese people for Japan on the Diaoyu Islands are particularly sensitive to the direction of the little tricks.
long as the Japanese government pursued a strong policy direction on the Diaoyu Islands, making their own room for maneuver has been significantly compressed. Territory Diaoyu Islands are stolen, Beijing can not give up. That the Japanese every time the direction of strong action on the Diaoyu Islands Diaoyu Islands will increase the difficulty of a peaceful settlement.
as the Diaoyu Islands issue between the two countries caused by the rise of nationalist sentiments to the Diaoyu Islands issue almost lost the possibility of a peaceful settlement. Japan has clearly seen this, but there is no loosening of the positions. This attitude can be seen as the peaceful settlement of the Diaoyu Islands is Japan's problem of lack of sincerity.
attitude of the Japanese side, in the short term the problem through peaceful means to resolve the possibility of the Diaoyu Islands have been almost lost. The long run, there is the possibility of peaceful settlement of the Diaoyu Islands issue. China's national strength is an absolute advantage over Japan, and geo-political isolation from Japan, the Japanese people's self-esteem that psychological abnormalities in the face of the cruel reality when it is destroyed, the Diaoyu Islands issue was the possibility exists for the peaceful solution.
However, regardless of my personal or the Chinese people can not tolerate this track by dragging the Diaoyu Islands issue, China's national strategy also allowed the emergence of this phenomenon. Therefore, the Chinese government should do the Diaoyu Islands issue be resolved by war preparations.
China pursues peaceful coexistence does not mean that the territorial issue should be delayed indefinitely. Waiting on the Diaoyu Islands issue, has affected the credibility of the Government, thus affecting the country's long-term stability. Interests should be the measure of the Diaoyu Islands issue has dragged on to play the only yardstick.
do not have to fight them the Diaoyu Islands issue, China and Japan are not prepared to showdown is the direct cause. I believe the issue of the Diaoyu Island between the two governments are not thinking short term at once. Select delay between the two governments, it means playing certainly is detrimental for both sides. The author believes that such considerations of both sides is justified.
Japan, is a pawn of U.S. global strategy. Pieces, when necessary use, can be discarded when not needed. Not the United States and Japan share a common lot. As an outpost of the United States, Japan's role is mainly for China's.
U.S. has been trying to state in the non-war policy of containing China is obvious. However, the United States may not be excluded as its outpost in the war between Japan and China. Once the fighting
the Diaoyu Islands issue, not directly intervene in the case of the United States, the victory will belong to China. Japan does not exist in the absolute gap between the technical conditions, the country's war potential will be decisive. If the partial failure of small-scale contest in China, then certainly the whole of the war. Otherwise, it means that the country can not control. For Japan, the situation is only slightly better than China.
in the local war fail, the Japanese government does not fall only if you want the whole of the war. Once the whole of the war, Japan lacks strategic depth and integrity of the disadvantages of military systems will exposed.
the capacity for the war in China is much higher than that of Japan. Particularly in the resources, China's domestic supply is essential to meet war needs. Even the ocean, the Japanese shipping routes to the Indian Ocean region are in China for a long period of direct attack aircraft and submarines within.
Japan China Sea route truncation lacking the necessary means. Japan can not rule out the establishment of sea lanes from the east bypass. However, this method does not essentially change the overall Sino-Japanese war, the balance of power.
Although China's total war on the strength of a relatively large advantage, but not enough in the war to gain complete victory in Japan. As China's own defense, the insufficiency of the trauma suffered by the Chinese would never small.
in the current stage of China and Japan can be solved by the outbreak of war is a Diaoyu Islands and East China Sea issue. Whether full-scale war or regional war are not enough to eradicate the threat to Japan, China, Japan would give no essential threat capabilities under the threat of declining intention greatly enhanced.
United States is not the Diaoyu Islands, Japan to compete for any reason. Japan caused by China and its Sike, the policy of U.S. global hegemony is worth the candle.
is to see these factors, Japan was no choice prematurely to a showdown with China over the Diaoyu Islands. China also takes into account these factors. Both sides understand that the Diaoyu Islands is a showdown, the U.S. will be the biggest beneficiary.
the United States can achieve the purpose of test and weaken China, while allowing increased Sino-Japanese conflict, thus making better use of distorted nationalism in Japan Japan's national interest to serve U.S. interests.
Therefore, until now, the direction of Diaoyu Islands is not obvious signs of a showdown. So, knowing that eventually a showdown, showdown, do not rush it not, both sides waiting for what exactly?
bilateral point of view alone, dragging the Japanese are extremely unfavorable. Increase the overall strength of China's much faster than the Japanese. Strength from both the growth rate point of view, no doubt Japan will eventually lose the Diaoyu Islands. Japan, the Sino-US relations change.
changed Sino-US relations, saying that more clearly point is that changes in U.S. forces. The rise of Chinese power in the United States to dominate the policy of giving up before the two sides would further aggravate the conflict.
particular, the development of the Chinese Navy will maximize the impact of the United States to contain China, which realize the ocean edge. Japan, between China and the U.S. in anticipation of conflict in the western Pacific. The United States may not be afraid to local war with China, the United States is a local force advantage. Taboo is the United States full-scale war with China, so that their strength potential in China are consumed in front, and then dominate the system, thus making it a global collapse.
However, the scale of the war is not the United States have the final say. U.S. wants to control in a certain scale of the war requires certain conditions. The most important condition is that in exchange for concessions on through space separating military and the local China Sea in close contact.
other words, the United States hopes the military purpose of war in China, located in the local community enough to play the role of fire outside the area beat the Chinese Navy, not the whole of China on the beat. This can largely prevent the general of the war.
war whether to expand the regional impact of the war, mainly from the point of view of war's purpose. Enough firepower to play a role in the local area outside of the war means that war is a fight for the purpose of control of access to the region.
Similarly, in the local community enough firepower to play the role of war in the region, the purpose is control of this area. Outside the local fire control, and if failed conventional war, the war is difficult to restore the whole of the outcome, for the government to no avail.
general of the war even if, because of the war can not achieve the purpose,
June 20 Chang An Avenue Beijing Jing Xian thirteen, the people will lose the enthusiasm to support and then the vent anger on the government. Marked a significant victory on marine forces to China's internal contradictions are enough to achieve the expansion of the internal problems by restricting the further development of China.
American conflict in the Western Pacific region is Japan just waiting. Japan hopes to change the status of their pieces, means sucked his chariot tied to the United States. Which the United States in the Western Pacific region after the conflict intensified, the Japanese for the role of the United States will increase.
can imagine, by that time, Japan will use the Diaoyu Island to induce tension between China and the U.S.. Even if this desire is difficult to achieve, between China and Japan also can wait for when the conflict took the opportunity to launch an attack on the Diaoyu Islands issue. Either way, it is actually through the power of the United States to compete with the Chinese Diaoyu Islands.
finest Chinese Diaoyu Islands issue, what is it? China, of course not the other who help themselves. And so is China with its own conditions. Unfortunately, China wants Japan to become his own. Japan's naval expansion in the sphere of influence may be, they will go to expansion, China is not necessarily so.
I have repeatedly stressed that the U.S. aim is to contain China, but not defeat China. Full-scale war with China operation of law of the United States the most powerful unbearable. The United States and the former Soviet Union during the Cold War for the war is aggressive because of the former Soviet Union.
China, is it another replica of the former Soviet Union? Of course not. China can limit its navy in a certain period range of activities, not to win local wars the United States the possibility of the Chinese Navy. United States marks a clear victory want to get into China to be able to obtain more local fire and give full play of the sea. That would mean a sharp increase in the risk of all-out war.
need to see is there to do in case of power vacuum limit its scope of activities of the Navy, the difficulty for China is not small. Chinese nationals have also been oppressed by Western colonialism. Therefore, the Chinese people want to obtain more extensive praise of the security boundary.
China's door is opened from the sea, the United States still rely on the Navy now complete suppression of the Chinese people stand up, all this will inspire the Chinese people as a strong nationalist sentiments of the fuse. Difficult to control the Chinese government is not small.
is worth noting that China did not occur in Japan as mentality of the general malformation. Between China and Japan is an important difference is that the whole of China has never abandoned their culture trying to de-Ouru Ya, the Chinese people have never felt inferior peoples than in the West Asian peoples.
Chinese history, there are hardships, allusions to bite the bullet, the doctrine of the Chinese culture will not lead the Chinese people go to extremes. [Culture is not the focus of this article, to say the body of inconvenience. Xenophilia emerged in recent years the trend alarming,
Men must know the dress sense (men collection articles) - Qzone log, for the future development of China is a serious threat. The ability of countries and organizations and individuals should make efforts in promoting traditional culture. ]
Limits on the scope of naval activities, does not mean that restrict the development of marine power, just to avoid unnecessary conflict with the United States. Marine forces to develop up to the South China Sea can be more activities to promote the peaceful settlement of the Nansha issue.
multipolarity and China's rise is the same place. The rise of China is itself an integral part of multi-polarization. Multi-polarization and the rise of China as two parallel historical process has not come to the power of the United States barely even when the global hegemony is the Chinese Navy entered the waters between the island chain or two, and the impact of the timing of the second island chain . Before the arrival at this time, it should solve the Diaoyu Islands in China, East China Sea, Taiwan time.
solve the East China Sea issue, in fact, or should the Diaoyu Islands as a weathervane. Can be solved as long as the Diaoyu Islands issue, and that the East China Sea issue is no longer a problem. As to the Taiwan issue, I think, still have to fight and to maximize the system.
many of my friends are not that non-weapons systems. This view I have had before. With increasing age, this idea slightly changed. I still insist that the Taiwan issue is the Cambrian, but the Cambrian area can also be interpreted as the absolute advantage of deterrence under the unified force. Military occupation of Taiwan may boost morale, and puts people on both sides caused the rift between the long-term is difficult to heal, in the country adversely.
Taiwan public opinion as it is today, is both subjective and objective reasons, in particular, for many years and do not contact caused. Taiwan is also the history of the victims. Consideration for the interests of Taiwan independence is ultimately only a few rogue politicians. Most of the people is due to other factors, consider choosing pro-independence party.
Taiwan's economy a lot of average level than on the mainland, it is a fact. Meanwhile, in the eyes of the people of Taiwan, as well as U.S. and Japan as its umbrella there. These two causes that maintain the status quo of the Taiwan people's benefits and risks compared to benefits accounted for the bulk. Thus, raising the level of the mainland economy and the decline in the possibility of external interference is a necessary prerequisite for peaceful reunification.
economic level its not a big problem as long as the continent can meet the requirements. The biggest problem is to recognize that the people of Taiwan, the U.S. and Japan umbrella is unsafe, or even simply an illusion.
the Diaoyu Islands issue also involves Taiwan, the mainland there are some operational difficulties. Some Taiwanese politicians for their own ulterior motives on the issue of the Diaoyu Islands belong attitude of the people in Taiwan has caused dissatisfaction. Therefore, the issue ultimately resolved by the mainland will inevitably strengthen the Taiwan people's national identity and belonging.
China wants to play within the larger influence to be given to ensuring its own security. As in the western Pacific and Japan Sea vested irreconcilable conflict, a powerful and unfriendly to China, Japan, will be a huge threat to national security.
two ways to solve this problem. Either significantly weaken the strength of Japan, or the Japanese have become friendly. These two methods actually has only one means - that is substantially weaken the strength of Japan.
Significantly weaken the strength of Japan was two birds with one stone. A threat to weaken the ability of Japan, and secondly, and even less to achieve the unexpected effect of the Japanese threat intentions.
As mentioned above, because of China's maritime power does not appear in the waters of the United States hopes the United States by war almost impossible to save Japan. According to the author's ideas, to stimulate the timing of the Diaoyu Islands issue should choose in my long-range firepower to effectively knock down the main part of the power structure in Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, when the military occupation. Without the existence of the Diaoyu Islands issue, China and Japan lost contact, it is difficult to mention the Okinawa issue. Opportunities for the event, you can not let go. Once you've mastered the Ryukyu Islands
in our hands, it means that the Japanese are proud of China and its satellite states completely lost the aggression outcomes, contribute to our shattered national pride the Japanese deformity. Also note down, the control system in China and the Ryukyu also help Taiwan's political offensive.
the Diaoyu Islands issue raised in the Japanese war,
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at least, most people should understand that no matter from which point of view,
The practice of over two thousand dishes - Qzone l, the U.S. global strategy in Japan's position is much higher than Taiwan. When Japan developed into an abandoned Chinese child in front of all, Taiwan is also considered a what?
Ryukyu Islands into the hands of our country, no doubt marked the first island chain has changed from the geopolitical point of view no longer exists. Then Taiwan's geopolitical role will be greatly reduced, it is to be abandoned abandoned child in the child.
Ryukyu Islands, the mainland holds the fact that Taiwan's politicians will be another important weight loss of bargaining. I believe the people of Taiwan would be based on comparison of the benefits and risks to make a choice in their vital interests.
I do not think that for the Ryukyu Islands and China have to intentionally delay the resolution of the Diaoyu Islands issue. If you make the kind of strategic thinking, and that is truly a game of chess for chess Er.
I presented here tie the Ryukyu Islands Diaoyu Islands Diaoyu Islands issue to resolve the problem only temporarily based on the premise that the conditions for a showdown maximize the benefits envisaged under the means. Similarly, the idea of the author, including the Taiwan issue is only based on the same premise of a maximum benefit.
international situation and unpredictable factor is so great also, not the author's intellectual window dressing can be summarized. The timing of the event, or compelled a favorable situation, the Diaoyu Islands and Taiwan to resolve the issue in advance is possible.
Japan, as a pawn, but not willing to do pieces. No pieces of consciousness piece, beyond the pieces to make some fair share of things, it will convert the abandoned child. Said the Japanese may be able to, it is only tactical. Transformed into a real player from the pawn of the country, but also how tolerance is a strategic country. Newly independent United States after a period of time, did the French forces to contain the British in the Americas pieces. The United States know how to endure, a tolerance on the American continent is hundreds of years. End it?
sinking current French pieces have become a unique strong today. The Japanese are always lonely, it is not wise to play with their own strategies. The end result also doomed at the outset.
assume the Diaoyu Islands in Japan really put back to us today, that may be true in Japan will become the potential rise of killer on the road, maybe one day there will be another opportunity to dominate the party. Unfortunately, it seems that Japan has no such chance. This touched a secret battle strategy, Japan has not clever. Diaoyu Islands, although the size of the land, we can see the general trend. Soldiers into the Diaoyu Islands, Japan and the United States for what it means, you also need time to do the best interpretation.
the Diaoyu Islands issue resolved, the conflict over the Diaoyu Islands on how to minimize the impact of the government's credibility is the government's a big problem. Meanwhile, the solution to this problem also needs to have the ability to meet the organizations and individuals.
great efforts to solve the drawbacks of the process of deepening reform and the contradictions brought about by building a harmonious society of stability and unity, is the government's primary political task, but also for the Government to strengthen the governance capability of a test.
I make a bold prediction here. If there are no special things excitation, the Diaoyu Islands issue will most likely have 3-6 aircraft carriers in China at this stage to be addressed.
until one day, the Chinese government announced, will carry out the investigation XXX fleets to the Diaoyu Islands, the Diaoyu Islands waters for access to all foreign vessels in the case of warnings to be sunk, and that the author is afraid to make judgments to very near the.
means must a bit, but that is our own territory, to recover the territory of civilization is not it difficult to choose the way? Not the mentality of a mild deformity in terms of bloodthirsty nation.
predecessors trees descendants cool. Whether keeping a low profile or something that is central in different historical periods the response of the international environment. From the beginning of generations of Chairman Mao's tireless efforts to complete the Chinese people to stand up base. This is the People's Heroes Monument commemorating the heroes of the reasons date back to 1840.
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