there is a phenomenon worth noting. A colossal population, China is currently in the process of migration, in counting to the rural population into urban population, urban population activity between the larger scale, many of them migrated his family situation. The migration of the population alive in the new place of address,
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sincere vacancy no agreement
executive vice premier of the Central Plains real estate secondary market, said Yu Ka-hung, is the lack of new supply this year, housing prices in Shenzhen have even now significantly momentous reason for the decline, but a lot of real estate will be listed in the second half, primarily in public Housing prices in the second half of the sales of the larger mission of the current impasse or difficult to maintain prices.
□ reporter Lin
more than one year if necessary completed sales of real estate as the basis for the vacant room, then more than 160 million square meters of vacant housing, the main problem from the supply structure. The developers of products and market demand can not be docked. Including redundant pricing, demand dislocation, low quality housing, needy size structure of assorted factors.
layman's terms, refers to the vacant house on the market can not sell the house. According to National Bureau of Housing and Urban Affairs and the elucidation of vacant housing is not one year after the achievement of sales of the house. National Bureau of Statistics has released any new houses vacant area of the national data, but since the starting of 2009, this data is
from the recently released economic data, since the first quarter, the macro-economic impetus has been running high began to alteration. The unhappy expectations of the macroeconomic outlook has undoubtedly become the afterward real estate important test of whether or not the policy to continue. How to ensure that the policy
CIC Securities real estate critic Li Shaoming that house prices in major cities there is no significant diminish happened ahead the end of 2010, for the real estate control policies will not relax, there is a inconsistency in particular housing Credit policy will not relax.
empty area of the recently published data as of December 2008. At that time, the national area of 164 million square meters of vacant housing, of which 90.69 million square meters of vacant commodity housing. Subsequently, the vacant space has decreased. Beginning in 2010, the citizen concordance of real estate vacant every month increase. 6 at the end of this year, the national real estate concordance was 104.65 vacant, more than in May increased 1.17 points, 16.06 points over final year. To conclude, by far, vacant housing area is not low, remaining at more than 160 million square meters. In 2009, the national sales area of 937 million square meters of commercial housing vacancy rate of nearly 20%.
Many industry insiders believe, based on the servant macroeconomic situation may appear in the second half of the anticipated decline in the real estate market is likely to remain unchanged based on the common intention of fine-tuning, thus reducing the risk of the corresponding policy .
the same period, approximately a month of pre-approved projects allow only two. June 14 to 20, only gold on the ground Pool Road, a project to win pre-sale allow, ratified residential zone of 6.5 million square meters, agreed copy number of 947 residential elements, agreed advertisement area of 1999 square meters. 5 to 11 July, Shenzhen is also the only view of Lake Park, a project to get pre-sale allow, approved 355 low-density residential units, granted one district of about 6 million square meters. The remaining items for bargain two weeks did not permit.
□ correspondent million crystal
remains high current real estate development investment, to further eliminate the real estate regulation and control of all parties will lead to economic based decision-making level to relax further dilute the potentiality of regulatory policies.
lax norm of the Shenzhen developers Fantasy
confusing regulatory policy, exacerbated by the Shenzhen developers wait and see attitude, many developers prefer to procrastinate the opening, leadership to keen the first half of a substantial new supply decrement. Centaline Property Statistics show that Shenzhen, the first half of copyrighted commercial residential only 1.31 million square meters, compared with same period in 2009 declined by a third, especially after the presentation of stringent control policies 5,6 month less new supply , only 23 million and 14 million square meters. This is the last year greatly reduced the supply behind the supply of the Shenzhen property market plummeted again. Approved the listing of commercial housing in Shenzhen last year, a absolute area of 4,320,000 square meters, down 37% year on year in 2008.
the future to promote the flexibility
market pressure to release.
Whenever we see the city Many real estate dingy skylights at night when the housing emptiness rate will be sensibility is too tall. But consist in ..., the real estate market, how high emptiness rate, no 1 authoritative data, analysis, and therefore human can not start.
Albert Xiang (Beijing) Investment Co., Ltd., leader of party reasonable that the first half of this year's real possession policies to implement stricter, in the current economic attitude is not optimistic approximately the downside risks and there is the case, in the second half if the To appliance a extra stringent policy the policy will face greater hazards. He believes that the current policy is in effect the implementation of completely relaxing the policy is unlikely. In thinking the macroeconomic position, the hereafter of real estate policy to fine-tune the maximum promising.
have pointed out that the regulation of real estate in recent years, history shows that if the policy too quickly too early to relax, will lead to changes in market expectations for housing prices, triggering retaliatory rebound,
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According to statistics, Lai Road, Yufu were built,
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Credit crunch this year, had a straight impact on the mortgage opposition the speculative and investment demand, resulting in the property market was the source control, policy control is the kernel of this round is the reason for the credit management of the reason for special care.
affected, some banks had changed the CITIC Bank and China Merchants Bank and other banks cared are said to be in rigid accordance with relevant state regulations, a loan commander Construction Bank is clear: There is not detaching. According to latest central bank's fiscal statistics, in the first half of the scale of 4.63 trillion yuan of new loans, up fewer along 2.74 trillion yuan. Among them, June RMB loans additional 603.4 billion yuan, down 36 billion yuan compared with May. First half of the amount of new loans accounted for 61.73 percent anniversary intend, in line with the year However, from the new credit building, prevailed the first half of the private housing mortgage loans and long-term loans reached 1.21 trillion yuan, accounting for the proportion of new loans approached 26.13%.
recently, Lanxi Gu, Jin Tong Road and park land on the ground and other improvement activities held in numerous new properties, these properties are new products for sale, marketing in advance of the prologue rally. But when queried about the lawful opening time, the developer has not been built that almost all, not even obtain pre-sale permit.
improved, but the characteristic proportion of the loan along to the customer's credit circumstances. quick rise of the notification
However, the China Securities News also found that the case of the recent relaxation of credit does seem in Beijing, Shanghai, the number of banks. Some banks that tin adopt lend applications for the third suite, the requirements as down payout and interest rates are distinctive, merely largely in over half of the down payment, loan interest rates go up 15% to 20%.
real estate control policies is loose, causing waves in the real estate market, joining to the developers wait and see attitude, many developers are still phantoms delayed opening, resulting in a near-term supply deficit, prices firm in the paralysis.
□ reporter at the Ping Wong Kam
Therefore, the issue of housing, high vacancy, there are some reasons for the market, there are some social changes in China's current natural. To supply the vacancy caused by the structure and assumption, the Government is catching fathom to control. Vacant is a garbage of social resources, and runs counter to the current advocacy of low-carbon economic, the Government should introduce targeted policies to encourage vacant housing for sale or hire.
since the implementation of a strict credit policy, known as the current round of real estate regulation The bank voicelessly released for the mortgage, but also transform a fire the
The agent within the meaning of the mouth
However, the Department of Housing and Urban 12 Group, said China Banking Regulatory Commission, for real estate narrated policies and standards have not anybody change to the policy loose gushed cold water on the conjecture. It appears that the property market has entered a deep game period. How to ensure that the policy
Shenzhen Real Estate Information Network Research and Development Department that new family prices are not premonitory adjustment, second-hand housing transaction volume steady in the current credit tightening macro-control policy, the new houses, second-hand housing turnover will scampering low. Currently, only a few items to take price slits, closing off appearance the mediocre residential houses to the chief, just to be primarily occasioned by the recent price decline.
peers will price ... ... slow, pre-conditions are not enough to get cards.
base line of the credit policy of deregulation test
the past month, the China Securities News, coarse statistics, only two new projects listed in Shenzhen. June 14 to 20 a week, diagram to cost the shire two annuals, gold ground Pool Road, and two items pushed to sell the residential area of less than 11 million square meters, to sell the copy number of 2049 residential units. After three weeks, sales of items listed in Shenzhen are zero.
expand the notion if vacant, would have sold but do not live long-term housing is also included in the statistics of vacant housing, then the real estate market, the vacancy rate will no mistrust be further improved. In Beijing, Shanghai and other cities, a person with multiple residences are general. Among them, a considerable proportion of the property landlord needs only for speculation, hoarding housing, and any of its vacant housing prices to be earned after the scatter. Other property owners to improve the type to live in new houses, but disinclined to rent existing home, or letting too troublesome. These two cases also led to high vacancy rate.
and as developers on behalf of Huayuan, said Ren Zhiqiang, chairman of real estate, real estate industry in general are worried about is precisely the relaxation of real estate policy will lead to more intense price rebound just to wreck the comparative poise of supply and demand situation, triggering more intense the next time control. Ups and downs are jump to China's economic and real estate industry to bring more adverse effects, stable and remove policy is expected to be more important.
In fact, the control measures for the real estate market, the largest non-credit policy efforts have to go. Raised two suites from the initial down payment percentage and borrowing rates to mushroom after some prices too high too fast, supply areas suspended above the third set and housing loans, to the June introduction of the
Not long ago, the medium said more than 660 cities in China for 6 months or more existing measure reading zero, 65.4 million vacant housing units, enough to 200 million people live, it seems to find the answer for this. However, National Grid issued a subsequent clarification, the data is only statistical power, as the basis for judging the vacant rooms will be quite error,
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from the viewpoint of real estate development project is constantly the ultimate product high-end products, are given greater market worth. In the hot real estate market, most projects will be increasingly targeting high-end, from the affordability of ordinary people. In 2009, the real estate market prosperity erratic, leading developers in the project development time, improve quality and section positioning. Cooling in the regulation of the market, the supply and demand misalignment problems will be highlighted, the phenomenon of vacant housing has become increasingly prominent.
file show that the first 6 months of this year, the national real estate investment 1.9747 trillion yuan,
adviser bargain 湖北通报近期两起重大安全生产事故, an mushroom of 38.1%, slightly down year on year growth rate 0.1 ratio points; which commercial residential investment 1.3692 trillion yuan, an increase of 34.4% growth rate down 1.4 percentage points.
CICC report that the current real estate market does not appear obvious point adjustment, and real estate upstream steel and iron, chemicals and other industries of the increase in catalogue has fair begun. While the PMI indicates that other leading arrows of trends in the economic downturn have now, but the latest data released in June (including backup and real estate data) point of view, short-term control policies did not significantly impair the economic growth, short-term policies and No need to relax.
generally wait To open more than
developers apt await and look viewpoint exacerbated
cloudy market conditions in sales, combined with the recent rumors of policy easing, many developers began to imagine the market retaliatory recovery. There are developers that the current sales rate was generally the first day of opening less than two as the need to do more preparatory work, and actively build-off, a if the sale is not engaged, will lead to two, three more difficult to sell. It is understood that there are developers in Shenzhen are close to the disc's two new hats, opened, still depends on whether the customer ambitious to buy a decisive proportion.
laborious to market new homes late
- real estate in the card comments
Shanghai E-House Real Estate Institute of Minister Yang Hongxu comprehensive learn also pointed out that in the second half if the market adjustment is too large, should be fitting to relax some of the policies. For instance, the correction of two sets of mortgage policies to amend housing demand unreasonable suppression; modify the two sets of mortgage loans not only acknowledged the policy of the Housing and admission; on some aspects of real estate transaction a modest tariff compromises.
Xiangcai Securities researchers also eminent that the ten countries in the formulation of the three apartments aboard the loopholes 1st, and to provincial rules,
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Real Estate Institute of Peking University, said Chan Kwok-keung, control less than 100 days since the New Deal, although the policy has yielded initial results, but to accomplish better control results take longer. Policy permanence should not be changed, so that all parties can be passed to the market stable, consecutive expectations. If the policy loosening, not only would control the effect will be greatly reduced, or even negate impact.