Xinhua BEIJING, Feb. 22 in Taiwan, more and more political observer to look from the polls to According to Taiwan's United Daily News reported that, with the prices reflect the market players on the active participation of the consensus of events.
Taiwan's National Chengchi University, Research Center Tong Zhenyuan predict the market, reflect the information, hands futures.
the incident as commodity trading, perhaps a bit hard to imagine, Tong Zhenyuan example: stock index, an important indicator of the economy, but the index is to predict the outcome of events.
with the group to predict who is elected,
chaussure foot nike, the three leading candidates predict the second group of the vote; March 16 close, the Chen Shui-bian was elected the probability estimate is 55%, 38% James Soong, Lien Chan, 28%, and the results exactly.
second batches, Chen Shui-bian's close vote predicted rate of 39%, 37.5% James Soong, Lien Chan, 26%; later three of the actual votes were 39.3%, 36.8% and 23.1%, and accuracy is amazing.
National Chengchi University, for future events, Exchange 2006 mayoral election year, election of regional leaders in 2008, last year's municipal elections and the number of hundred percent accuracy. 2007
four seats for the Tong Zhenyuan response, prediction markets are not opinion polls, the poll sample estimated through the mother's message to forecast market prices, reflecting market players on the active participation of the consensus of events.
He said participants in the market forecasting method is based on information available to participate in their own,
nike football, there are points or money to correct the revenue, got it wrong there will be losses, the pursuit of proper motivation, far more than the general public tone.
camp candidates will not use Tongzhen Yuan said the deal less of the contract,
mercurial superfly, did see traces of human action, but only in a very short period of time lift, or lower prices, will soon return to average, because Points for the purpose.
future events Exchange
Research by the cross-cutting experts, including National Chengchi University and the